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FOR third successive year, the Indian economy has registered a highly impressive growth during fiscal 2005-06. Sustained manufacturing activity and impressive performance of the services sector with reasonable support from the recovery in agricultural activity have added greater momentum to this growth process. After recording some slowdown in the third quarter (October-December) of 2005-06, real gross domestic product (GDP) registered a sharp increase in the fourth quarter (January-March) of 2005-06 benefiting from a pick-up in almost all segments of agriculture, industry and services. According to the revised estimates released by the Central Statistical Organization (CSO) in May 2006, real GDP accelerated from 7.5 per cent in 2004-05 to 8.4 per cent during 2005-06. The Indian economy has, thus, recorded an average growth of over 8 per cent in the latest three years (2003-04 to 2005-06).
Growth Rates of Real GDP
(Base Year : 1999-2000)
(Per cent)
Sector | 2000-01 to 2002-03 (Average | 2003-04 | 2004-05 | 2005-06 | 2004-05 | 2005-06 | ||||||
Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | |||||
Agriculture | -0.2 | 10.0 | 0.7 | 3.9 | 3.5 | -0.2 | -1.2 | 1.5 | 3.4 | 4.0 | 2.9 | 5.5 |
Allied Activities | (23.5) | (22.2) | (20.8) | (19.9) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
1.1 Agriculture | -0.5 | 10.7 | 0.7 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Industry | 5.2 | 6.6 | 7.4 | 7.6 | 6.6 | 8.0 | 8.1 | 6.8 | 9.5 | 6.3 | 7.0 | 7.9 |
(19.7) | (19.5) | (19.5) | (19.3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |
2.1 Mining and Quarrying | 4.4 | 5.3 | 5.8 | 0.9 | 8.2 | 6.0 | 5.7 | 3.7 | 3.1 | -2.6 | 0.0 | 3.0 |
2.2 Manufacturing | 5.7 | 7.1 | 8.1 | 9.0 | 6.6 | 8.3 | 9.2 | 8.1 | 10.7 | 8.1 | 8.3 | 8.9 |
2.3 Electricity, Gas and Water Supply | 2.8 | 4.8 | 4.3 | 5.3 | 4.9 | 7.9 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 7.4 | 2.6 | 5.0 | 6.1 |
Services | 6.6 | 8.5 | 10.2 | 10.3 | 10.0 | 8.2 | 10.6 | 11.6 | 10.1 | 10.3 | 9.7 | 11.0 |
(56.8) | (58.3) | (59.7) | (60.7) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |
3.1 Trade, Hotels, Restaurants, Transport, Storage and Communication | 8.5 | 12.0 | 9.7 | 11.0 | 10.2 | 12.9 | 10.6 | 11.5 | 10.6 | 11.2 | 11.7 | 11.0 |
3.2 Financing, Insurance, Real Estate and Business Services | 6.5 | 4.5 | 9.2 | 9.7 | 8.8 | 7.5 | 9.7 | 10.7 | 8.8 | 10.5 | 8.9 | 10.5 |
3.3 Community, Social and Personal Services | 4.1 | 5.4 | 9.2 | 7.8 | 10.7 | 4.8 | 8.5 | 12.7 | 7.3 | 8.0 | 8.4 | 7.6 |
3.4 Construction | 5.9 | 10.9 | 12.5 | 12.1 | 8.9 | 6.8 | 20.8 | 13.5 | 12.4 | 12.3 | 11.5 | 12.0 |
Real GDP at Factor Cost | 4.6 | 8.5 | 7.5 | 8.4 | 7.9 | 6.7 | 7.0 | 8.6 | 8.5 | 8.4 | 7.5 | 9.3 |
Agriculture
The kharif crops coverage up to July 10, 2006 increased by around 11.9 per cent over a year ago. For all crops taken together, around 27 per cent of the normal area has been sown so far. Total foodgrains production during 2005-06 was placed at around 208 million tonne, an increase of 5 per cent over the previous year, mainly on the back of higher output of rice. The increase in the production of non-foodgrains crops was led mainly by sugarcane and cotton.
Progress of Area under Khariff Crops - 2006-07
(Million Hectares)
Crop | Normal | Area Coverage (As on July 10) | ||
2005 | 2006 | Variation 2006 over 2005 | ||
Rice | 39.9 | 5.4 | 6.1 | 0.7 |
Coarse Cereals | 22.9 | 6.8 | 7.3 | 0.5 |
Of which | ||||
Bajra | 9.3 | 2.4 | 2.1 | -0.3 |
Jowar | 4.6 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.1 |
Maize | 6.0 | 2.7 | 3.5 | 0.8 |
Total Pulses | 10.6 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 0.7 |
Total Kharif Oilseeds | 15.1 | 3.3 | 3.4 | 0.1 |
Of which | ||||
Groundnut | 5.5 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 0.4 |
Soyabean | 6.3 | 1.3 | 1.1 | -0.2 |
Sesamum | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 |
Sunflower | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
Sugarcane | 4.3 | 4.3 | 4.5 | 0.2 |
Cotton | 8.3 | 2.5 | 3.3 | 0.8 |
All Crops | 101.1 | 24.3 | 27.2 | 2.9 |
Source: Ministry of Agriculture, Government of India
Agricultural Production
(Million Tonne)
Crop | 2003-04 | 2004-05 | 2005-06$ | |||
Target | Achievement | Target | Achievement | Target | Achievement | |
Rice | 87.0 | 88.5 | 93.5 | 83.1 | 87.8 | 91.0 |
Wheat | 72.1 | 72.2 | 79.5 | 68.6 | 75.5 | 69.5 |
Coarse Cereals | 37.8 | 37.6 | 36.8 | 33.5 | 36.5 | 34.7 |
Pulses | 15.2 | 14.9 | 15.3 | 13.1 | 15.2 | 13.1 |
Total Foodgrains | 212.1 | 213.2 | 225.1 | 198.4 | 215.0 | 208.3 |
Kharif | 112.0 | 117.0 | 113.8 | 103.3 | 109.9 | 109.7 |
Rabi | 100.0 | 96.2 | 111.3 | 95.1 | 105.1 | 98.6 |
Total Oilseeds | 25.1 | 25.2 | 26.2 | 24.4 | 26.6 | 27.7 |
Kharif | 17.0 | 16.7 | 16.3 | 14.2 | 16.2 | 16.8 |
Rabi | 8.1 | 8.5 | 9.9 | 10.2 | 10.4 | 10.9 |
Sugarcane | 236.2 | 233.9 | 270.0 | 237.1 | 237.5 | 278.4 |
Cotton # | 13.8 | 13.7 | 15.0 | 16.4 | 16.5 | 19.6 |
Jute and Mesta ## | 11.2 | 11.2 | 11.8 | 10.3 | 11.3 | 10.7 |
$ : Fourth Advance Estimates (July 15,2006)
# : Million bales of 170 kgs each; ## : Million bales of 180 kgs each
Source: Ministry of Agriculture, Government of India
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